Tag Trumpquake

Word of the year 2016

Nothing to do with the ice caps

It’s that time of the year when various bodies such as the American Dialect Society and Global Language Monitor nominate the word of the year (WOTY).

Not to be outdone, at VoxSapiens we would like to nominate our word of the year.

Our thinking is along the lines of the Oxford English Dictionary’s nomination of post-truth and dictionary.com’s nomination of xenophobia. We see Brexit, Trumpquake and woke, all contenders for WOTY, as key arenas for use of both the OED’s nomination and ours.

But we see the issue as more than post-truth. We see a fundamental change in the world developing.

For that reason, we nominate Read more

Are polling companies in crisis?

Major wrong call yet again

Once again the polling companies have got it wrong. And not just slightly wrong, but very wrong.

This time they predicted a Hillary Clinton win. Even 24 hours before the polls they predicted that Hillary would win.

Just a few months ago they predicted a “Remain” win in the Brexit poll.

Last year, there performance would deserve an “F” for the UK general elections. None of the 92 polls accurately predicted the 7% lead the Conservatives would actually achieve and a majority predicted a Labour victory.

% gap between Conservative and LabourAll pollsConservative leadsLabour leads
Total923342
017
1321517
222715
31037
4752
511
6321

In 2013, the pollsters were wrong with the British Columbia provincial elections.

Why do the pollsters repeatedly get it so wrong? Why don’t they learn?

Well, Read more

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